Will a large chunk of Canada have a hot summer?

It looks like its going to be a hot summer this year for eastern Canada as well as some areas out West. The weather network and global news weather outlooks are pointing in that direction. I personally don't like hot summer myself. Maybe, this will mean a cold snowy winter for a large portion of Canada?. As it seems like a hot summer brings about a cold snowy winter. We shall see.




https://globalnews.ca/news/4231832/canada-summer-forecast-2018/


Your next three months

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/summer-forecast-2018-prairies-alberta-bc-ontario-quebec-maritimes-atlantic-canada-heat-rainfall/102326

Questions Physicalists have a very hard time answering

There are numerous questions physicalists have a hard time answering. One of them is the fact that I can easily imagine life without consciousness. That would definitely signal a strong scientific confidence that Physicalism is right.However, we don't have that we have subjectivity an inner life that at least humans possess. What evolutionary advantage is there in having conscious beings instead of zombie like humans?. Another is the fact that I can easily imagine the earth being just a tad closer to the sun. If that was the case life would not exist. It would be too hot on earth. Let's put aside the overwhelming evidence for psi and for an afterlife to the side for a moment. Physicalist's claim that consciousness ends when physical life ends when the brain stops. However, consciousness is subjective in nature. How can subjective have an ending. Be that a temporary ending or a permanent ending like Physicalist's insist it must. Well, I just wanted to share these questions with you. I have been thinking about them for a long time now. Physicalists never have any proper answers to these questions. Though many of them seem to be very certain of their positions. They never have any doubt in their convictions. So what about Idealism?. Well, it seems to suffer the same problem that Physicalism does and that is assuming everything is reduced down to one single substance. Instead of matter/energy being primary, we have consciousness as primary. Substance Dualism seems to be the best answer as it doesn't make reality be simple. After all, reality isn't so simple. As new discoveries like Quantum Physics are teaching us.


On a side note, the weather here has been downright awful, with constant rain and more coming too.

It looks like it may be a white christmas this year winter is coming!!!

It looks like cold arctic air is coming down across eastern Canada. We may have a major snowstorm next weekend all depends on the track of the storm of course. The Nao which is the North Atlantic Oscillation is expected to remain negative for awhile then go neutral then go very negative after the 16th of Dec. The PNA which stands for the Pacific/North American pattern is expected to remain negative. Another reason why the cold air will remain locked in place is that a big block is developing. This pattern looks to last at least 3 weeks. The Euro Weeklies suggest that this pattern will continue into the New Year. We will see.

AO Index

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao_index_mrf.shtml

NAO Index

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml

PNA Index

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna_index_mrf.shtml

Euro Weeklies

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/anderson/story/42498/prairies-on-eastward-looking-very-wintry-through-the-end-of-the-month.asp

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/42378/colder-air-begins-to-push.asp

Very Hot Weather Here

Wow it's been very hot and humid outside here for the last several days a heatwave with the humidex making it feels at times in the high 30's and low 40's.

European Weekly Long Range Outlook

Here is what the long range european weekly forecast is saying for North America.


Dec 8-14

--Drier than normal pattern over Alaska
--Normal temperatures and slightly below-normal precipitation across British Columbia and the Pacific northwest.
--Dry and warmer than normal over the Southwestern U.S. west of the Divide.
--Drier and slightly colder than normal from the western Prairies down through the high Plains of the U.S., including the front range.
--Much colder than normal with normal precipitation from the eastern Prairies down through the eastern U.S. Plains, Midwest, Ohio Valley and Ontario. Above normal snowfall in the usual lake-effect snow belts.
--Below-normal temps and slightly drier than normal over the Southeastern U.S.
--Below-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation from the northern Middle Atlantic states through New England, southern Quebec and the western Maritimes.
--Normal cold and above-normal precipitation from the eastern Maritimes through Newfoundland.


Dec 15-21

--Dry pattern over western Alaska with normal temperatures.
--Well below-normal temperatures from eastern Alaska and the Yukon Territory through the Northwest Territories, down into the Prairies and into the northern U.S. Plains and Midwestern U.S. Generally drier than normal in northern and western part of this region, but frequent clipper storms could lead to normal snowfall from Saskatchewan to the Midwestern U.S.
--A piece of this well-below normal air could get west of the divide and spill into most of British Columbia.
--Normal temperatures and precip over the Southwestern U.S.
--Above-normal precipitation from the central Rockies through the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes and then into Northeastern U.S.
--Temperatures back to normal with normal precipitation in the Southeastern U.S.
--Below-normal temperatures from Ontario through Quebec and the Maritimes with normal precipitation. Plenty of Lake-effect snow again.
--Normal temperatures and precipitation for Newfoundland.


Dec 22-28

--Drier than normal over most of Alaska. Normal temperatures in the west to well below in the eastern part of the state.
--Bitterly cold (well below normal) from The Yukon Territory through western parts of the Northwestern Territories then down into the northern half of BC and the northern Prairies.
--Below-normal temps across the remainder of western Canada and into the northern half of the Pacific Northwest. Precipitation in this region below normal with the exception of the eastern slopes of the Rockies from Alberta to Montana where snowfall will be normal.
--Above-normal precipitation from the central Rockies through the central Plains and into the Midwestern U.S.
--Normal temperatures and precipitation across the Northeastern U.S., most of Ontario and Quebec.
--Slightly milder and drier compared to normal over the Southeastern U.S.
--Normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation over Newfoundland.

Winter Is Coming I am Excited

All weather models are in full agreement that the northeast and eastern canada will experience a very cold blast of cold air. This will bring lake effects snows for Ontario among many other areas. Their is a possibility of a noreaster or 2 in the long range too for Atlantic Canada. The Euro shows that the cold air will stay in place with some relaxation after thanksgiving then the pattern repeats. It appears the weather models want to blow up and storm or two. One of them appears to happen by the middle of next week. These storms could impact Nova Scotia and possibly Southern New Brunwick, Prince Edward Island. It will all depend on where the snow/rain line is.

Here's the Noaa's prediction for the 6-10 day temperatures

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

8-14 day temperatures

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/

Now let's look at the arctic oscillation[AO] which is one of major players for bringing cold arctic air into north eastern America and Eastern Canada. When it is negative.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao_index_mrf.shtml


As you see it remains negative throughout the period.


Also look at the negative arctic oscillation[NAO] which if negative also brings down cold arctic air.



http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml

It also remains negative thoughout the period to somewhat neutral.

Finally the Pacific/North American Pattern. When positive it brings helps bring cold weather to Northeastern America and Eastern Canada

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna_index_mrf.shtml

It also says mostly positive throughout the period.

Powerful Post Tropical Storm Hanna

Yes it most definitely looks like it will hit us. I hear the weather channels saying like 50-70 mm of rain or much more. It does look like according to meterologists their won't be much wind with this storm. I hope so if the power goes out that would really suck. We will see.

Here's the heavy rainfall warning that has been issued by Environment Canada

Pictou County
3:50 PM ADT Saturday 6 September 2008
Rainfall warning for
Pictou County continued

This is a warning that significant rainfall is expected or occurring in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.



A band of heavy showers as developed in advance of tropical storm Hanna. Rainfall amounts of 20 to 40 mm are forecast with this rainband across southwestern Nova Scotia however local amounts could be as high as 60 mm.

The remnants of tropical storm Hanna remain on track to cross the valley and central Nova Scotia Sunday afternoon and western Cape Breton Sunday night. Rain at times heavy will develop on Sunday as Hanna nears and will taper off by Sunday evening in hannas wake. Total rainfall amounts of 60 to 80 millimetres are forecast however locally higher amounts are possible. Winds will be gusty from the south to southeast ahead of Hanna on Sunday but wind warnings are not required at this time.

The Power Went Out Last Night

Yeah it sucked nova scotia power saying it was either a lightening strike or something else.


I was asleep and the power came on it scared me lol then it went back out then finally came on permanately.

Now it looks like will be getting a tropical storm named Hanna. Oh boy not good news.

Also a Hurricane Ike could follow on the same path towards us.

New Skeptiko Podcast

Alex Tskaris got another new skeptiko podcast episode titled Skeptic Lynne Kelly on Cold Reading Techniques


Guest: Lynne Kelly, author of The Skeptic’s Guide to the Paranormal , discusses using “cold Reading” techniques in psychic medium readings.

Watch the episode here

http://www.skeptiko.com/index.php?id=63

It looks like we will be getting heavy rain and wind from Hanna. It won't be it looks like a hurricane by that time. But a tropical depression nonetheless after all the rain in nova scotia as of late any amount of rain is not good. What we need is a dry spell.

Lessons of Katrina well-learned

Apparently lessons have been learnt and history looks like it won't repeat itself.

http://www.wdam.com/Global/category.asp?C=8388&nav=menu123_2

other news

Flies react within 200 milliseconds to swat threat

http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2008/aug/29/flies.reactions

Very Humid and Hot Day Outside

It's hot and humid outside pretty unbearable. It was raining hard outside earlier and very humid . Now the sun is out and it's hot and it's very humid along with it. According to many websites this could be a classic winter for many places.

Here are some sources I have tracked down on early predictions for this upcoming winter.

Old farmer's almanic

Long ranger forecast

http://www.almanac.com/weatherforecast/ca/1

Could this winter's weather add to economic woes?

http://www.farmersalmanac.com/weather/a/

could-this-winters-weather-add-to-economic-woes

Will see what Noaa says and others soon.

Computer Model Long Range Forecast Week Of Nov 5-11th

Week Of nov 5-11th

Colder than nromal from Manitoba through Ontario as a trough is predicted to set up over Quebec but dry, especially Manitoba and Northwestern Ontario

Wet pattern for the Maritimes


Week Of Nov 12-18th

Cold pattern from Manitoba through Northern and Central Ontario and into Quebec, Northern Quebec looks very cold

Still wetter than normal for the Maritimes, but the Maritimes through Newfoundland will turn colder compared to normal.

Week Of Nov 19th-25th

Cold pattern compared to normal holds across Northern Ontario, all of Quebec and the Maritimes

Greater opportunity for alberta clippers to bring winter precipitation to Manitoba, Northern, Northwestern, Northern and Central Onatrio, Quebec and New Brunswick, Pei and Nova Scotia

Some Indication of a Greenland Block which if builds would lock in the cold weather pattern for longer.